Dak Prescott
QBDAL · bye 14DNA VNova projection
248season budget (pts)
16.93
PPR / game
116
Nova rank
T6
tier
-8.4
VORP
Market
58.8
ADP · 5.11
49-69
draft range
82
expert ECR
36-104
expert range
-56
Nova vs market rank
-56
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
90
floor (P10)
248
median (budget)
433
ceiling (P90)
17%
P(tier-1 season)
34%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB9-QB32
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.099x position norm · 42 games · 18.41 mean PPR
Dak Prescott is Nova's 116th-ranked player overall (QB, DAL), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 248 points this season, about 16.93 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 59, ahead of Nova's 116.
Nova gives him about a 17% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 90 points (floor) to 433 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 116 | T6 | -8.4 | 17% | QB9-QB32 | 89.7-432.6 |
| Half PPR | 114 | T6 | -8.4 | 17% | QB9-QB32 | 89.7-432.6 |
| Standard | 118 | T7 | -8.4 | 17% | QB9-QB32 | 89.7-432.6 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 50 | T8 | 40 | 17% | QB9-QB32 | 89.7-432.6 |
Nova season stat lines14.7 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 151.4 |
| Rushing TDs | 1.7 |
| Passing Yards | 3591.2 |
| Passing TDs | 24.2 |
2025 usage profile17 games
95%
snap share
3.1
carries / game
11%
team carry share
3.3
yards / carry
12
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
+0.6
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+8.6
TD pace vs position (32 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
3
broken tackles forced
8.8
rush yards before contact / g
2.3
rush yards after contact / g
127
times pressured
19.8%
pressure rate faced
142
times blitzed
31
times sacked
45
times hurried
51
times hit
11.6%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | DAL vs PHI | 188-0-0 pass, 1-3-0 rush | 7.8 |
| W2 | DAL vs NYG | 361-2-1 pass, 3-17-0 rush | 22.1 |
| W3 | DAL vs CHI | 251-1-2 pass | 12.0 |
| W4 | DAL vs GB | 319-3-0 pass, 1-2-1 rush | 31.0 |
| W5 | DAL vs NYJ | 237-4-0 pass, 7-28-0 rush | 28.3 |
| W6 | DAL vs CAR | 261-3-0 pass, 2--1-0 rush | 22.3 |
| W7 | DAL vs WAS | 264-3-0 pass, 5-7-0 rush | 23.3 |
| W8 | DAL vs DEN | 188-0-2 pass, 6-31-0 rush | 6.6 |
| W9 | DAL vs ARI | 250-1-1 pass, 4-34-0 rush | 15.4 |
| W11 | DAL vs LV | 268-4-0 pass, 4--4-0 rush | 24.3 |
| W12 | DAL vs PHI | 354-2-1 pass, 5-9-1 rush | 27.1 |
| W13 | DAL vs KC | 320-2-1 pass, 3--2-0 rush | 20.6 |
| W14 | DAL vs DET | 376-1-2 pass, 3-14-0 rush | 18.4 |
| W15 | DAL vs MIN | 294-0-0 pass, 1-2-0 rush | 12.0 |
| W16 | DAL vs LAC | 244-2-0 pass, 2-14-0 rush | 19.2 |
| W17 | DAL vs WAS | 307-2-0 pass, 4-24-0 rush | 22.7 |
| W18 | DAL vs NYG | 70-0-0 pass, 2--1-0 rush | 0.7 |