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Dak Prescott

QBDAL · bye 14DNA V

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Nova projection
248season budget (pts)
16.93
PPR / game
116
Nova rank
T6
tier
-8.4
VORP
Market
58.8
ADP · 5.11
49-69
draft range
82
expert ECR
36-104
expert range
-56
Nova vs market rank
-56
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
24890floor P10433ceiling P90
90
floor (P10)
248
median (budget)
433
ceiling (P90)
17%
P(tier-1 season)
34%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB9-QB32
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.099x position norm · 42 games · 18.41 mean PPR
Early SOS 20Playoff SOS 18Bye 14

Dak Prescott is Nova's 116th-ranked player overall (QB, DAL), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 248 points this season, about 16.93 per game.

He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 59, ahead of Nova's 116.

Nova gives him about a 17% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 90 points (floor) to 433 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR116T6-8.417%QB9-QB3289.7-432.6
Half PPR114T6-8.417%QB9-QB3289.7-432.6
Standard118T7-8.417%QB9-QB3289.7-432.6
2QB / Superflex50T84017%QB9-QB3289.7-432.6

Nova season stat lines14.7 expected games

StatNova projection
Rushing Yards151.4
Rushing TDs1.7
Passing Yards3591.2
Passing TDs24.2

2025 usage profile17 games

95%
snap share
3.1
carries / game
11%
team carry share
3.3
yards / carry
12
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
+0.6
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+8.6
TD pace vs position (32 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

3
broken tackles forced
8.8
rush yards before contact / g
2.3
rush yards after contact / g
127
times pressured
19.8%
pressure rate faced
142
times blitzed
31
times sacked
45
times hurried
51
times hit
11.6%
bad throw rate

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1DAL vs PHI188-0-0 pass, 1-3-0 rush7.8
W2DAL vs NYG361-2-1 pass, 3-17-0 rush22.1
W3DAL vs CHI251-1-2 pass12.0
W4DAL vs GB319-3-0 pass, 1-2-1 rush31.0
W5DAL vs NYJ237-4-0 pass, 7-28-0 rush28.3
W6DAL vs CAR261-3-0 pass, 2--1-0 rush22.3
W7DAL vs WAS264-3-0 pass, 5-7-0 rush23.3
W8DAL vs DEN188-0-2 pass, 6-31-0 rush6.6
W9DAL vs ARI250-1-1 pass, 4-34-0 rush15.4
W11DAL vs LV268-4-0 pass, 4--4-0 rush24.3
W12DAL vs PHI354-2-1 pass, 5-9-1 rush27.1
W13DAL vs KC320-2-1 pass, 3--2-0 rush20.6
W14DAL vs DET376-1-2 pass, 3-14-0 rush18.4
W15DAL vs MIN294-0-0 pass, 1-2-0 rush12.0
W16DAL vs LAC244-2-0 pass, 2-14-0 rush19.2
W17DAL vs WAS307-2-0 pass, 4-24-0 rush22.7
W18DAL vs NYG70-0-0 pass, 2--1-0 rush0.7