Chris Rodriguez Jr.
RBJAX · bye 7DNA VNova projection
70season budget (pts)
6.05
PPR / game
310
Nova rank
T6
tier
-88.7
VORP
Market
154.9
ADP · 13.11
95-176
draft range
125
expert ECR
92-196
expert range
-137
Nova vs market rank
-137
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
19
floor (P10)
70
median (budget)
141
ceiling (P90)
1%
P(tier-1 season)
5%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB48-RB78
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.07x position norm · 28 games · 5.76 mean PPR
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is Nova's 310th-ranked player overall (RB, JAX), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 70 points this season, about 6.05 per game.
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 155, ahead of Nova's 310.
Nova gives him about a 1% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 19 points (floor) to 141 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 310 | T6 | -88.7 | 1% | RB48-RB78 | 18.9-141.2 |
| Half PPR | 294 | T6 | -74.6 | 2% | RB45-RB76 | 18.5-137.7 |
| Standard | 287 | T7 | -59.2 | 2% | RB41-RB74 | 18-134.2 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 329 | T8 | -93.9 | 1% | RB48-RB78 | 18.9-141.2 |
Nova season stat lines11.6 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 30.6 |
| Receptions | 3.5 |
| Rushing Yards | 381.9 |
| Rushing TDs | 4.2 |
2025 usage profile12 games
31%
snap share
9.3
carries / game
31%
team carry share
4.5
yards / carry
34
red-zone opportunities (6 TDs)
+1.8
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+2.3
TD pace vs position (6 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
13
broken tackles forced
13.9
rush yards before contact / g
27.8
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
75.5
passer rating when targeted
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W3 | WAS vs LV | 11-39-0 rush | 3.9 |
| W4 | WAS vs ATL | 7-59-0 rush | 5.9 |
| W5 | WAS vs LAC | 5-7-0 rush | 0.7 |
| W7 | WAS vs DAL | 3-12-1 rush | 7.2 |
| W8 | WAS vs KC | 1-2-0 rush | 0.2 |
| W9 | WAS vs SEA | 12-65-1 rush | 12.5 |
| W10 | WAS vs DET | 6-16-1 rush | 7.6 |
| W11 | WAS vs MIA | 15-79-0 rush, 1-6 rec | 9.5 |
| W13 | WAS vs DEN | 11-41-1 rush, 0-0 rec | 10.1 |
| W14 | WAS vs MIN | 10-52-0 rush | 5.2 |
| W16 | WAS vs PHI | 15-63-1 rush, 1-6 rec | 13.9 |
| W18 | WAS vs PHI | 16-65-1 rush, 1-18 rec | 15.3 |