Cam Ward
QBTEN · bye 9DNA S+Nova projection
196season budget (pts)
11.86
PPR / game
182
Nova rank
T6
tier
-49.7
VORP
Market
92.1
ADP · 8.08
64-109
draft range
151
expert ECR
128-212
expert range
-95
Nova vs market rank
-95
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
76
floor (P10)
196
median (budget)
369
ceiling (P90)
10%
P(tier-1 season)
25%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB13-QB39
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S+ · Elite consistency
volatility 0.713x position norm · 17 games · 10.98 mean PPR
Cam Ward is Nova's 182nd-ranked player overall (QB, TEN), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 196 points this season, about 11.86 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 10% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 76 points (floor) to 369 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S+ (Elite consistency). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 182 | T6 | -49.7 | 10% | QB13-QB39 | 75.7-368.6 |
| Half PPR | 195 | T6 | -49.7 | 10% | QB13-QB39 | 75.7-368.6 |
| Standard | 231 | T7 | -49.7 | 10% | QB13-QB39 | 75.7-368.6 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 106 | T8 | -1.2 | 10% | QB13-QB39 | 75.7-368.6 |
Nova season stat lines16.5 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 172.6 |
| Rushing TDs | 2.1 |
| Passing Yards | 3266.8 |
| Passing TDs | 16 |
2025 usage profile17 games
95%
snap share
2.3
carries / game
10%
team carry share
4.1
yards / carry
10
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
+0.8
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
-6.4
TD pace vs position (17 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
3
broken tackles forced
6.9
rush yards before contact / g
4.4
rush yards after contact / g
171
times pressured
27.6%
pressure rate faced
138
times blitzed
55
times sacked
67
times hurried
49
times hit
18.4%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | TEN vs DEN | 112-0-0 pass | 2.5 |
| W2 | TEN vs LA | 175-1-0 pass, 4-8-0 rush | 9.8 |
| W3 | TEN vs IND | 219-1-1 pass, 3-12-0 rush | 12.0 |
| W4 | TEN vs HOU | 108-0-1 pass, 2-22-0 rush | 4.5 |
| W5 | TEN vs ARI | 265-0-1 pass, 5--6-0 rush | 8.0 |
| W6 | TEN vs LV | 222-1-1 pass | 6.9 |
| W7 | TEN vs NE | 255-1-1 pass | 10.2 |
| W8 | TEN vs IND | 259-1-1 pass, 2-4-0 rush | 12.8 |
| W9 | TEN vs LAC | 145-0-0 pass, 2-6-0 rush | 6.4 |
| W11 | TEN vs HOU | 194-1-0 pass, 3-33-0 rush | 13.1 |
| W12 | TEN vs SEA | 256-1-0 pass, 6-37-1 rush | 23.9 |
| W13 | TEN vs JAX | 141-0-0 pass, 1-7-0 rush | 6.3 |
| W14 | TEN vs CLE | 117-2-1 pass, 2-4-0 rush | 11.1 |
| W15 | TEN vs SF | 170-2-0 pass, 1-2-0 rush | 15.0 |
| W16 | TEN vs KC | 228-2-0 pass, 4-9-0 rush | 18.0 |
| W17 | TEN vs NO | 251-2-0 pass, 2-10-0 rush | 17.0 |
| W18 | TEN vs JAX | 52-0-0 pass, 2-11-1 rush | 9.2 |