Calvin Ridley
WRTEN · bye 9DNA VNova projection
124season budget (pts)
9.51
PPR / game
162
Nova rank
T6
tier
-37.6
VORP
Market
160.5
ADP · 14.04
145-175
draft range
186
expert ECR
129-301
expert range
+20
Nova vs market rank
+20
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
48
floor (P10)
124
median (budget)
211
ceiling (P90)
4%
P(tier-1 season)
12%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR40-WR99
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.064x position norm · 41 games · 11.62 mean PPR
Market coverage
-6
divergence vs Vegas · 2 stats · directional
Calvin Ridley is Nova's 162nd-ranked player overall (WR, TEN), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 124 points this season, about 9.51 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 161, Nova 162).
Nova gives him about a 4% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 48 points (floor) to 211 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). Nova sits below the Vegas market on him (divergence -6). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks soft.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 162 | T6 | -37.6 | 4% | WR40-WR99 | 48.3-211.2 |
| Half PPR | 158 | T6 | -31.7 | 5% | WR39-WR97 | 40.3-176.1 |
| Standard | 150 | T7 | -22.7 | 5% | WR37-WR95 | 32.2-141 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 174 | T8 | -39.6 | 4% | WR40-WR99 | 48.3-211.2 |
Nova season stat lines13 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Receiving Yards | 629.5 |
| Receptions | 41.3 |
| Receiving TDs | 2.7 |
| Rushing Yards | 20.1 |
2025 usage profile7 games
57%
snap share
5.1
targets / game
17%
team target share
24%
air yards share
0.423
WOPR (opportunity)
2.4
receptions / game
47%
catch rate
8.4
yards / target
64.7
air yards / game
-1.4
TD pace vs position (0 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
0
broken tackles forced
4
drops
7.4%
drop rate
82.5
passer rating when targeted
Vegas season lines vs Novaseason betting market vs Nova’s projection
| Stat | DK line | Market lean | Nova | Δ% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving TDs | 3.5 | 45% over | 2.7 | n/a |
| Receiving Yards | 624.5 | 50% over | 629.5 | +0.8% |
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | TEN vs DEN | 4-27-0 (8 tgt) | 6.7 |
| W2 | TEN vs LA | 3-57-0 (6 tgt) | 8.7 |
| W3 | TEN vs IND | 1-27-0 (7 tgt) | 3.7 |
| W4 | TEN vs HOU | 2-30-0 (3 tgt) | 5.0 |
| W5 | TEN vs ARI | 5-131-0 (10 tgt) | 18.1 |
| W6 | TEN vs LV | 1-18-0 (1 tgt) | 2.8 |
| W11 | TEN vs HOU | 1-13-0 (1 tgt) | 2.3 |