Bryce Young
QBCAR · bye 5DNA VNova projection
209season budget (pts)
13.52
PPR / game
164
Nova rank
T6
tier
-38.5
VORP
Market
89.1
ADP · 8.05
61-100
draft range
159
expert ECR
131-241
expert range
-80
Nova vs market rank
-80
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
80
floor (P10)
209
median (budget)
389
ceiling (P90)
12%
P(tier-1 season)
27%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB12-QB37
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.024x position norm · 46 games · 12.38 mean PPR
Bryce Young is Nova's 164th-ranked player overall (QB, CAR), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 209 points this season, about 13.52 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 12% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 80 points (floor) to 389 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 164 | T6 | -38.5 | 12% | QB12-QB37 | 80.2-388.5 |
| Half PPR | 170 | T6 | -38.5 | 12% | QB12-QB37 | 80.2-388.5 |
| Standard | 190 | T7 | -38.5 | 12% | QB12-QB37 | 80.2-388.5 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 85 | T8 | 10 | 12% | QB12-QB37 | 80.2-388.5 |
Nova season stat lines15.4 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 243.8 |
| Rushing TDs | 2.9 |
| Passing Yards | 2939.2 |
| Passing TDs | 19.1 |
2025 usage profile16 games
97%
snap share
3.4
carries / game
14%
team carry share
4
yards / carry
11
red-zone opportunities (2 TDs)
+0.7
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+3
TD pace vs position (25 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
2
broken tackles forced
11.1
rush yards before contact / g
2.4
rush yards after contact / g
129
times pressured
24%
pressure rate faced
127
times blitzed
27
times sacked
54
times hurried
48
times hit
17%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | CAR vs JAX | 154-1-2 pass, 5-40-0 rush | 8.2 |
| W2 | CAR vs ARI | 328-3-1 pass, 2-2-0 rush | 21.3 |
| W3 | CAR vs ATL | 121-0-0 pass, 2-8-1 rush | 11.6 |
| W4 | CAR vs NE | 150-1-0 pass, 1-3-0 rush | 10.3 |
| W5 | CAR vs MIA | 198-2-1 pass, 3-1-0 rush | 12.0 |
| W6 | CAR vs DAL | 199-3-1 pass, 3-5-0 rush | 18.5 |
| W7 | CAR vs NYJ | 138-1-0 pass, 2-10-0 rush | 10.5 |
| W9 | CAR vs GB | 102-0-1 pass, 2-9-0 rush | 3.0 |
| W10 | CAR vs NO | 124-0-1 pass, 2-6-0 rush | 1.6 |
| W11 | CAR vs ATL | 448-3-0 pass, 1--1-0 rush | 31.8 |
| W12 | CAR vs SF | 169-1-2 pass, 4-15-0 rush | 8.3 |
| W13 | CAR vs LA | 206-3-0 pass, 5-23-0 rush | 22.5 |
| W15 | CAR vs NO | 163-1-0 pass, 7-49-0 rush | 15.4 |
| W16 | CAR vs TB | 191-2-0 pass, 4-20-0 rush | 17.6 |
| W17 | CAR vs SEA | 54-0-1 pass, 9-27-1 rush | 8.9 |
| W18 | CAR vs TB | 266-2-1 pass, 2--1-0 rush | 16.5 |