Brock Purdy
QBSF · bye 8DNA VNova projection
249season budget (pts)
18.88
PPR / game
90
Nova rank
T6
tier
2.5
VORP
Market
96.3
ADP · 8.12
77-126
draft range
92
expert ECR
29-104
expert range
+9
Nova vs market rank
+9
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
96
floor (P10)
249
median (budget)
457
ceiling (P90)
19%
P(tier-1 season)
39%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB8-QB31
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
V · Variable
volatility 1.04x position norm · 40 games · 18.5 mean PPR
Brock Purdy is Nova's 90th-ranked player overall (QB, SF), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 249 points this season, about 18.88 per game.
Nova and the market roughly agree on him (ADP 96, Nova 90).
Nova gives him about a 19% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 96 points (floor) to 457 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades V (Variable). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks tough.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 90 | T6 | 2.5 | 19% | QB8-QB31 | 95.7-457 |
| Half PPR | 86 | T6 | 2.5 | 20% | QB8-QB31 | 95.7-457 |
| Standard | 83 | T7 | 2.5 | 20% | QB8-QB31 | 95.7-457 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 40 | T8 | 51 | 19% | QB8-QB31 | 95.7-457 |
Nova season stat lines13.2 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 220.4 |
| Rushing TDs | 3.7 |
| Passing Yards | 3391.7 |
| Passing TDs | 24.2 |
2025 usage profile9 games
98%
snap share
3.7
carries / game
12%
team carry share
4.5
yards / carry
7
red-zone opportunities (3 TDs)
+2.2
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+10.6
TD pace vs position (23 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
0
broken tackles forced
14
rush yards before contact / g
2.3
rush yards after contact / g
66
times pressured
20.9%
pressure rate faced
59
times blitzed
11
times sacked
27
times hurried
28
times hit
12.1%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | SF vs SEA | 277-2-2 pass, 5-17-0 rush | 16.8 |
| W4 | SF vs JAX | 309-2-2 pass, 2-13-0 rush | 17.7 |
| W11 | SF vs ARI | 200-3-0 pass, 1--7-0 rush | 19.3 |
| W12 | SF vs CAR | 193-1-3 pass, 6-16-0 rush | 7.3 |
| W13 | SF vs CLE | 168-1-0 pass, 2-4-1 rush | 17.1 |
| W15 | SF vs TEN | 295-3-0 pass, 7-44-0 rush | 26.2 |
| W16 | SF vs IND | 295-5-1 pass, 2-11-0 rush | 30.9 |
| W17 | SF vs CHI | 303-3-1 pass, 6-28-2 rush | 36.9 |
| W18 | SF vs SEA | 127-0-1 pass, 2-21-0 rush | 5.2 |