Antonio Williams
WRWAS · bye 7ROOKIE/NANova projection
76*season budget (pts)
289
Nova rank
T6
tier
-85.5
VORP
* draft-capital prior (round 3, pick 71), not a projection.
Market
141.1
ADP · 12.09
121-150
draft range
221
expert ECR
135-320
expert range
-138
Nova vs market rank
-138
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
4
floor (P10)
76
median (budget)
180
ceiling (P90)
3%
P(tier-1 season)
7%
P(tier-2 or better)
WR62-WR145
likely finish (P25-P75)
Antonio Williams is Nova's 289th-ranked player overall (WR, WAS), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 76 points this season (rookie draft-capital prior, directional).
He is a reach by Nova's math: the market takes him around pick 141, ahead of Nova's 289.
Nova gives him about a 3% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 4 points (floor) to 180 (ceiling). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 289 | T6 | -85.5 | 3% | WR62-WR145 | 3.6-179.8 |
| Half PPR | 284 | T6 | -72.8 | 3% | WR62-WR145 | 2.9-147.4 |
| Standard | 275 | T7 | -56.8 | 3% | WR62-WR145 | 2.3-115 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 298 | T8 | -87.5 | 3% | WR62-WR145 | 3.6-179.8 |