Home
Draft
Draft War RoomPreseason RankingsMock DraftRookie BoardHandcuff FinderStrength of ScheduleBye PlannerCheat SheetValues & ReachesScarcity CurveStack Finder
In-Season
Weekly ProjectionsWaiver WireInjury WatchScenariosLineup OptimizerTrendingScores
Tools
CompareTrade AnalyzerWhat-IfMy LeagueConnect LeagueTrade FinderTeamsRoster Report CardExport
Research
Divergence WatchLine MoversSignal LibraryArmchair QBAsk NovaFloor / CeilingOpportunityConsistency
About
MethodologyAccountabilityChallenge the Model

Alexander Mattison

RBLV · bye 13DNA S+

← back to rankings

Nova projection
122season budget (pts)
8.15
PPR / game
158
Nova rank
T6
tier
-35.3
VORP
Market
n/a
ADP
n/a
draft range
n/a
expert ECR
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
12234floor P10247ceiling P90
34
floor (P10)
122
median (budget)
247
ceiling (P90)
8%
P(tier-1 season)
22%
P(tier-2 or better)
RB27-RB64
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
S+ · Elite consistency
volatility 0.786x position norm · 30 games · 9.02 mean PPR
Early SOS 13.3Playoff SOS 15.7Bye 13

Alexander Mattison is Nova's 158th-ranked player overall (RB, LV), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 122 points this season, about 8.15 per game.

There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.

Nova gives him about a 8% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 34 points (floor) to 247 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades S+ (Elite consistency). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR158T6-35.38%RB27-RB6433.5-247
Half PPR164T6-34.48%RB28-RB6529.5-217.3
Standard173T7-32.27%RB29-RB6625.5-187.6
2QB / Superflex176T8-40.68%RB27-RB6433.5-247