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Aaron Rodgers

QBPIT · bye 9DNA B

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Nova projection
180season budget (pts)
12.93
PPR / game
267
Nova rank
T6
tier
-80.5
VORP
Market
111.1
ADP · 10.03
96-126
draft range
245
expert ECR
146-320
expert range
-159
Nova vs market rank
-159
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
18067floor P10322ceiling P90
67
floor (P10)
180
median (budget)
322
ceiling (P90)
6%
P(tier-1 season)
16%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB17-QB44
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.904x position norm · 34 games · 14.23 mean PPR
Early SOS 17.7Playoff SOS 18.3Bye 9

Aaron Rodgers is Nova's 267th-ranked player overall (QB, PIT), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 180 points this season, about 12.93 per game.

There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.

Nova gives him about a 6% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 67 points (floor) to 322 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.

Nova rank by format

FormatNova RankTierVORPP(Tier-1)Finish rangeTotal P10-P90
PPR267T6-80.56%QB17-QB4467-322.2
Half PPR321T6-80.76%QB17-QB4466.9-321.8
Standard523T7-816%QB17-QB4566.8-321.4
2QB / Superflex161T8-326%QB17-QB4467-322.2

Nova season stat lines14 expected games

StatNova projection
Rushing Yards67.4
Passing Yards2671.8
Passing TDs19.1

2025 usage profile16 games

96%
snap share
1.3
carries / game
6%
team carry share
2.9
yards / carry
3
red-zone opportunities (1 TDs)
+0.6
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+3
TD pace vs position (25 total)

PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season

0
broken tackles forced
4.5
rush yards before contact / g
0.2
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
79.2
passer rating when targeted
85
times pressured
16.3%
pressure rate faced
97
times blitzed
29
times sacked
27
times hurried
29
times hit
17.8%
bad throw rate

No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.

2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats

WeekOppStat linePPR
W1PIT vs NYJ244-4-0 pass, 1--1-0 rush25.7
W2PIT vs SEA203-1-2 pass, 1-3-0 rush10.4
W3PIT vs NE139-2-1 pass, 4-1-0 rush11.7
W4PIT vs MIN200-1-0 pass, 3-8-0 rush12.8
W6PIT vs CLE235-2-0 pass, 1-1-0 rush17.5
W7PIT vs CIN249-4-2 pass, 1-6-0 rush22.6
W8PIT vs GB219-2-0 pass16.8
W9PIT vs IND203-1-0 pass12.1
W10PIT vs LAC161-1-2 pass6.4
W11PIT vs CIN116-1-0 pass, 1-8-0 rush9.4
W13PIT vs BUF117-0-0 pass2.7
W14PIT vs BAL284-1-0 pass, 2-0-1 rush21.5
W15PIT vs MIA224-2-0 pass17.0
W16PIT vs DET266-1-0 pass, 2-9-0 rush15.5
W17PIT vs CLE168-0-0 pass, 1-6-0 rush7.3
W18PIT vs BAL294-1-0 pass, 1-20-0 rush17.8