Aaron Rodgers
QBPIT · bye 9DNA BNova projection
180season budget (pts)
12.93
PPR / game
267
Nova rank
T6
tier
-80.5
VORP
Market
111.1
ADP · 10.03
96-126
draft range
245
expert ECR
146-320
expert range
-159
Nova vs market rank
-159
value (ADP - Nova rank)
Outcome range5000 simulated seasons, PPR
67
floor (P10)
180
median (budget)
322
ceiling (P90)
6%
P(tier-1 season)
16%
P(tier-2 or better)
QB17-QB44
likely finish (P25-P75)
Consistency (DNA)
B · Baseline
volatility 0.904x position norm · 34 games · 14.23 mean PPR
Aaron Rodgers is Nova's 267th-ranked player overall (QB, PIT), in Tier 6. Nova projects roughly 180 points this season, about 12.93 per game.
There is no market ADP on him yet, so this is Nova's read alone.
Nova gives him about a 6% shot at a tier-1 season, with simulated outcomes from roughly 67 points (floor) to 322 (ceiling). His week-to-week profile grades B (Baseline). His fantasy-playoff schedule (weeks 15-17) looks average.
Nova rank by format
| Format | Nova Rank | Tier | VORP | P(Tier-1) | Finish range | Total P10-P90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPR | 267 | T6 | -80.5 | 6% | QB17-QB44 | 67-322.2 |
| Half PPR | 321 | T6 | -80.7 | 6% | QB17-QB44 | 66.9-321.8 |
| Standard | 523 | T7 | -81 | 6% | QB17-QB45 | 66.8-321.4 |
| 2QB / Superflex | 161 | T8 | -32 | 6% | QB17-QB44 | 67-322.2 |
Nova season stat lines14 expected games
| Stat | Nova projection |
|---|---|
| Rushing Yards | 67.4 |
| Passing Yards | 2671.8 |
| Passing TDs | 19.1 |
2025 usage profile16 games
96%
snap share
1.3
carries / game
6%
team carry share
2.9
yards / carry
3
red-zone opportunities (1 TDs)
+0.6
TD equity (over pace, regression risk)
+3
TD pace vs position (25 total)
PFR advanced (2025)Pro-Football-Reference, regular season
0
broken tackles forced
4.5
rush yards before contact / g
0.2
rush yards after contact / g
0
drops
0%
drop rate
79.2
passer rating when targeted
85
times pressured
16.3%
pressure rate faced
97
times blitzed
29
times sacked
27
times hurried
29
times hit
17.8%
bad throw rate
No season futures captured for this player yet. The market board rotates and coverage grows Mon/Wed/Fri.
2025 game logregular season, nflverse weekly stats
| Week | Opp | Stat line | PPR |
|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | PIT vs NYJ | 244-4-0 pass, 1--1-0 rush | 25.7 |
| W2 | PIT vs SEA | 203-1-2 pass, 1-3-0 rush | 10.4 |
| W3 | PIT vs NE | 139-2-1 pass, 4-1-0 rush | 11.7 |
| W4 | PIT vs MIN | 200-1-0 pass, 3-8-0 rush | 12.8 |
| W6 | PIT vs CLE | 235-2-0 pass, 1-1-0 rush | 17.5 |
| W7 | PIT vs CIN | 249-4-2 pass, 1-6-0 rush | 22.6 |
| W8 | PIT vs GB | 219-2-0 pass | 16.8 |
| W9 | PIT vs IND | 203-1-0 pass | 12.1 |
| W10 | PIT vs LAC | 161-1-2 pass | 6.4 |
| W11 | PIT vs CIN | 116-1-0 pass, 1-8-0 rush | 9.4 |
| W13 | PIT vs BUF | 117-0-0 pass | 2.7 |
| W14 | PIT vs BAL | 284-1-0 pass, 2-0-1 rush | 21.5 |
| W15 | PIT vs MIA | 224-2-0 pass | 17.0 |
| W16 | PIT vs DET | 266-1-0 pass, 2-9-0 rush | 15.5 |
| W17 | PIT vs CLE | 168-0-0 pass, 1-6-0 rush | 7.3 |
| W18 | PIT vs BAL | 294-1-0 pass, 1-20-0 rush | 17.8 |